The WHO is actually just citing IHME, the University of Washington researchers who have been putting out estimates since the early days of the pandemic. They suggest Europe will hit 50% in 6 to 8 weeks. Perhaps the bigger headline should be 'IHME estimates the 50% of Americans will have had Omicron in 6 weeks".
The other things IHME is predicting about the US. I've bolded the stuff that surprises me.
On the question of whether Omicron is relatively mild variant or not the press should be more precise. I think most people want to know is the virus more severe to a person rather than the societal level of hospitalizations. for example it’s possible that it similar to delta for those without antibodies but a lot milder for breakthrough and or repeat cases. I don’t think UK or NYC hospitalization levels support the null hypothesis that delta severity = omicron severity. But certain charts makes me wonder if maybe if it is as severe as Delta for the unvaxxed/unimmunized.
One epidemiological feature of Omicron is probably a shorter spikier peak. I'd say at least in NYC we're highly likely to exceed the 400 daily hospitalizations of last Winter (if already 200 per day on Monday). But in terms of bed capacity we will probably be ok because the admissions spike will last a few weeks instead of being elevated for 3 months. It may be a different story in the low-vax/low-immunity deep south and plains states.
And this Pfizer pill is a game changer. Biden bought 10 million pills in advance. Unfortunately the world has to share 180K pills during 2021. Even if we got a 100% allocation, this would cover only the 180K people that tested positive Tuesday. I think that if they give the pill out like they do the monoclonal antibodies, maybe only 1 in 50 will 'need' it, but they have to give it to 1 in 5 to make sure they capture that 1 in 50. Very curious how they are going to distribute the pills - do they do it like they did vaccines where they leave it up to the states? Do they let the PBMs and pharmacies figure it out? Go straight to the hospitals? Will they give the pills until they run out like vaccines or ration them for only the unvaxxed/immunocompromised? Will a state decide to deny them to those without a vax card or good excuse?
The Scotland study that dropped yesterday seems to me the best (by far) study out there about Omicron severity. In Scotland they have a vaccine database and they were able to link the database it to a database that "variant-types" ~150K COVID cases in November, about evenly split between Delta and Omicron.They took the Delta infections as a given to regress the odds of hospitalization based on age, sex, poverty, Covid test history, and comorbidities. They included vax status based on type of vaccine, doses, duration, and a calendar period effect they found. They took this regression model and applied it to Omicron cases to predict hospitalizations. The hospitalizations, unlike the England study, were admitted patients (as opposed to people who showed up in the ER). Really perfect study design in my opinion.Here's the output. S Gene Negative means Omicron, and S Gene Positive means Delta. Because they were typing 140K cases I think they had to use this less precise test so they have some gray areas between Delta and Omicron. Regardless you can see that omicron hospitalizations were at only 32% of expected. They fixed the flaws in some of the other studies that show a 2/3 reduction because they were comparing two different time periods (South Africa), ignoring age (Denmark), or including ER visits (England). My only quibble here is that i don't think they did multi-factor interactions in the regression and Scotland has a 0% vaccine rate for the kids so it might distort the true unvaccinated picture here. Kids have a lesser market share of Omicron than Delta and a naturally lower hospitalization risk.Very few places on Earth would be able to assemble this data. God save the NHS.
Scotland doesnt address length of stay but they have the data so I expect they will soon. South Africa had dramatic length of stay reduction which some chalked up to mild cases in kids. England did a study but not helpful because they include the self-selecting ER cases, so the avg length of stay is measured in hours rather than days.
We dont know how Omicron immunity will last, or if it will protect against other variants. Like for example we could see a Summer surge of Delta if Omicron doesnt provide immunity against it. We have a good idea that the earliest vanilla COVID has immunity that can be modeled in a population sort of well as a straight line from 3 months to 16 months (like 100% are immune for first 3 months, at 9.5% 50% are immune, 0% at 16 months). If Omicron follows this pattern great. If it protects against past and future variants we likely have herd immunity.
Hard to test because after the first person with Omicron has recovered, Delta is somewhat displaced.There was a cool study in South Africa where they took the Omicron infected plasma and then the two-weeks-post-Omicron plasma of 13 people vaxxed and unvaxxed people to the lab and introduced both Omicron and Delta. They found that Omicron exposure increased the neutralisation 4.4x after you beat Omicron compared to when they introduced Delta to the newly tested Omicron. IIRC this kind of test measures the 'titers' created in the blood plasma. For context when they did the same thing but introduced Omicron there was a 14x increase in titers. And from memory when Pfizer/Moderna introduce vaccines/boosters and do a similar test to healthy individuals the increase is in the dozens, like 30x or 40x.At a high level I think that on day 1:Vax against delta > vax against omicron > omicron immunity against omicron > omicron immunity against delta.And the wrinkle here is that the vax against omicron seems to deteriorate faster than the vax against delta, and both of those decrease faster than COVID natural delta immunity. And we have no tests of speed of decay of COVID natural omicron immunity
Masks For Pet Stores
With the world ever-changing amidst this pandemic, it has become extremely important to protect yourself through proper personal protection equipment. At Order Cloth Masks we understand that for some front-line workers this means an N-95 mask, a type of mask that can be quite expensive for the average consumer. But there are other front-line workers, who also require a mask to make sure they can do their job safely, but won't need the added measure of an N-95. For this reason, we understand that having a mask that has been carefully crafted to protect them against the germs that are always circulating, is key for their safety. This is why here at Order Cloth Masks we have manufactured a line of cloth masks that are not only comfortable for your skin but also create a safe seal with the correct amount of breathable, protective layers. One reason why masks have become so important is not just for protecting one another, but also to help us be able to care for those furry friends that have become little members of our family. The amount of pets being adopted during this time in our lives has grown significantly, and where would pet owners be if they couldn't safely engage with those who are helping them at the local pet store? By creating masks that are both comfortable and washable it allows for those of you in professions in pet stores to remain protected while helping the rest of us care for those furry friends of ours. At Order Cloth Masks, our masks are made to withstand multiple piles of washing, dry quickly, and protect you while you work at helping your customers feed, clothe and care for their 4-legged, feathered, or scaled best friends. One thing that we wanted to be sure of those pet stores was the ability to overcome multiple washes, while also remaining comfortable for long hours. Not only are you working hard during the day, but we understand that you also have families and homes that need attending to, so you aren't just wearing that mask during work hours, you're also using it for grocery shopping, fueling up a vehicle, or grabbing those odds and ends for a weekend renovation. Because of this, we here at Order Cloth Masks have made sure to design a mask that will stay fresh sun up, to sundown. We also have furry family members that we need to take care of, and the best way we can show our appreciation for pet stores and the hard work that's put in there is to make you a mask that will aid in your safety as you help others. Order Cloth Masks, helping you stay safe, while you help us care for our furry mates.
Masks for electricians
Where would we be during this pandemic if we couldn't order things online? During the last many months the change from shopping in person has shifted to shopping online, which means more and more deliveries with fewer people able to make them. At Order Cloth Masks we understand the challenge it has been for UPS drivers to complete all the deliveries coming their way, and to do it on time. We also know how often they have to come in contact with other people throughout the day, to the point where many have chosen to self isolate whenever they aren't at work. We may not be able to help with those deliveries coming through the UPS depot, but we can help protect you, your co-workers, and even your family by crafting a cloth mask that will prevent the spread of germs and viruses. Our cloth masks have been designed to be a perfect fit, no matter your face shape. We wanted something that would also be able to withstand a good washing every single day. We know that the concern with cloth masks is the continued carrying of germs that plant themselves directly on the mask, but with Order Cloth Masks you are able to throw the mask into the wash at the end of the day and then be ready for another day germ-free tomorrow. UPS drivers are often working in all kinds of weather and conditions, your mask should be the least of your worries. Because of the materials, layers, and quality of work we put into our masks here at Order Cloth Masks, you are able to make deliveries all day long, pop out to the store after work, and still be breathing free and clear at the end of the day. The last thing anyone wants from their mask is a build of germs because the mask won't breathe and remains damp from enclosed breathing all day long. Not only do our masks dry quickly, but they will not lose their effectiveness the more you wear them. At Order Cloth Masks we are very grateful for the UPS drivers and all the hard work they are continually putting in to make sure all the in-person shoppers, turned online deal finders, are receiving their goods on time – and safely. The focus is often on first responders during this pandemic, but know that at Order Cloth Masks, we see you, and we appreciate you. We know you are also putting your life at risk every day just to make sure that outfit arrives on time, those clouring books, or that curriculum for the newly turned homeschool parent. UPS drivers, you are appreciated and you will be kept safe with Order Cloth Masks.
Masks for Canadians
Buy Face Masks at Order Cloth Masks
In 2019 December, COVID-19 broke out in Wuhan, China. This came with devastating effects on every sector of the economy. The world economy, travel sector, and travel sector are some of the areas affected. To help find a solution to this problem, Order Cloth Masks emerged to manufacture and distribute high-quality cloth masks.
Order Cloth Masks is a top-ranked Goshen, Indiana-based firm that specializes in cloth masks. The firm produces high quality and cost-friendly cloths masks for Canadians. This company is perceived to have high-quality cloth masks at an affordable price making it ranked top-notch. The company concentrates much on quality and value than profit-making it is loved much by Canadian customers. These masks have proved to be integral in suppressing the transmission of airborne infections like Coronavirus. Cloth masks have played an integral role in saving lives. These cloth masks made by Order Cloth Masks should be worn by health workers in a clinical setting, anyone waiting for covid-19 results, and those with covid-a19 symptoms. Also, remember to wear clean masks in the right way.
This company also offers reusable masks for bakeries. Order Cloth Masks make their masks with innovative technology, premium fabric that prevents splashed droplets from penetrating them. The masks for bakers have an exhale valve for easy breathing. They also feature adjustable earloops for fit and comfort. Other unique features of masks of bakeries include the twill-fabric technology, water repellent feature, and filters.
These masks for Canadians are packed in a Ziplock style to ensure that during handling and shipping there is minimal contact. We also provide important information about caring for and wearing our masks. They come in different colors like bright blue, grey, and neutral tones of black. At Order Cloth Masks, you will also get masks at retail and wholesale pricing.
We also offer masks for news reporters. News reporters wear masks for various reasons. One of the reasons is to assist in flattening the curves. Others also wear face masks to protect them from airborne diseases like flu and the dreaded Coronavirus. It is clear and concise that most journalists interact with people quite often. Therefore, as a way to control the contraction of airborne diseases, cloth masks prove integral. News reporters also wear face masks to help them reduce viral infections. Surgical face masks are integral in reducing these transmissions especially if worn correctly. As a news reporter, it is important you understand that you will always interact with several people, therefore, before wearing a face mask, you should wash your hands and regularly use hand sanitizers.
News reporters also need to wear face masks to protect those they interact with from illnesses. Research shows that by doing so, approximately 95% of death cases caused by airborne diseases could be prevented. Lastly, news reporters should wear face masks because it is hygienical.
There has been a debate about whether news anchors should wear masks. The answer is that most TV anchors have begun using face masks when anchoring. However, some viewers dislike this because they claim they are unable to read the anchors' facial expressions.
Masks for bakeries
The pandemic has made everyone extremely cautious when going to establishments. How can you be sure to protect yourself and the others around you? The simplest answer to that question is to wear a cloth mask that is not extremely thin. Are you having issues finding the right mask for you? Order Cloth Masks is proudly based in Goshen, Indiana. We have created a very large selection of masks that are perfect for anyone working in a bakery or who loves bakery items.
What types of items need to be protected in the bakery?- Bagels, pastries, and donuts
- Cupcakes and cookies
- Fresh coffee and tea
- Other ready-to-eat items
These items are cooked prior to purchasing, which means they are done when the customer orders. If a baker doesn't wear a mask to cover their face, it could potentially put all of the items at risk. The open flours, icings, and other items that could be contaminated would be very costly to replace. To be proactive in this type of setting, it's important for all employees at the bakery to wear a quality mask when working or visiting the bakery.
Why should bakery employees wear a mask during the entire shift they work?It has been stated that everyone who comes into contact with other people should wear a mask. If you are going to a public place where you can not make sure you are socially distant, then it is vital that you wear a mask to prevent the spread of this deadly virus. We have to do our part to keep the world safe, these are people's grandmothers, mothers, fathers, and even children that are getting sick and even some are dying. Order Cloth Masks has made it possible to order your masks from the comfort of your own home with our online ordering process. Here is a small list of reasons you should buy your face masks from our company.
- We are dedicated to producing top-quality cloth masks to do our part to keep people safe.
We follow strict standards and procedures to make sure that each mask that is manufactured is done with diligence and precise precision to give you the best quality of masks possible.
- We have the most affordable prices that will fit into any budget.
Are you on a tight budget with this pandemic? It has been financially hard for many people during this difficult time. We are proud to offer affordable prices that everyone can afford. You do not have to choose between food or masks to protect yourself. You can buy both with our extremely low pricing.
- We will go above and beyond to ensure each mask is made from premium materials to give you an extended life with your cloth face masks.
We believe in giving each customer the best mask available. That means that we must use premium materials and equipment to make sure that each mask is built to last. We do not want the material fading, ripping, or coming apart at the seams after a few washes. If you want the best, order your masks from our company today!
Masks for news reporters
Have you ever wondered why the news anchors on TV wear masks? If they are outdoors, why do they need a mask on? When you stop and think about the cameraman or crew that works with the news reporter? How many people are working in close proximity to that anchor? Is the anchor interviewing anyone during their time or are they just speaking alone? These are all situations that are easily faced by news reporters. If you are a news reporter, you face many challenges on a daily basis. Keep yourself safe and protected from this deadly virus by wearing a cloth mask made by us. We use high-quality materials to ensure that each mask is made to last.
Do news anchors wear masks?There are many jobs in the news studio. You can see a few of the different jobs when you watch the news on television or online. If you have noticed, not every anchor has a mask. Have you ever wondered why? The news anchors at the desk are strategically placed over 6 feet apart to keep everyone safe in the area. When you see the meteorologist come on to complete their portion of the segment, they are positioned to the side of the desk. It puts 6 feet of space between the meteorologist and the news anchors.
Reporters are different. They are constantly around different people doing interviews, which is right in the line of danger. The coronavirus takes no pity on anyone. If you want to protect yourself and others, then you will wear a cloth mask anytime you are close to other people. Where can you find a high-quality cloth mask that is affordable and fashionable?
Why should you buy from Order Cloth Masks?Order Cloth Masks are proudly located in Goshen, Indiana. We are a small business that takes pride in helping out during this horrible pandemic. If you are looking for a high-quality fashion face mask that will keep you safe from contracting Covid, then look no further than here. We have a dedicated team of professionals that put quality over quantity, so you never have to worry about getting a low-grade mask that will fall apart.
- We offer affordable prices that everyone can afford. Our company is small, so we can offer low prices for our products. News anchors need many masks with many different styles. With prices as low as these, you can afford to get large bundles.
- We have a wide variety of styles and designs to ensure you find your style.Should a news anchor be seen with the same mask over and over? Should your mask match your outfit? We have a very large selection of styles to choose from that can be bought in bundles for savings. Check out our huge selection online.
- We have online options to give you superior convenience.News anchors have a busy life. We created a website for ordering your favorite masks at your convenience. Whether you are home or in-between interviews, the online option will make your ordering process simple and quick.
Saint Louis Blues Masks
Are you a huge fan of the Saint Louis Blues? Want to show your team pride, while keeping yourself protected from the deadly coronavirus and the different strands that are popping up? We have a wide variety of Saint Louis Blues mask with a filter that will surely spark your interest. Our masks are made with high-quality fabrics and materials to ensure that they will have extended life for those who wear them. Staying safe is the most important factor in choosing the right mask for you. Our professionals will go the extra mile when creating each mask to ensure that every one we create is made of top quality.
It's important to wear a mask every day around other people!Let's not forget why we are buying and wearing these masks. Buying a Saint Louis Blues virus face mask is going to act as a sheild against any harmful virus plus bacteria floating in the air or coming from another person. You will be able to slide a filter in the mask to add another layer of protection against the deadly virus.
It's still important to remember that just because you are wearing a Saint Louis Blues medical mask, doesn't mean that you should take unnecessary risks with small or large crowds and gatherings. Support your team by wearing your mask proudly as often as you like. We have such a large selection that you could choose multiple options to wear a different mask throughout the week. This year you may want to think about showing your love for the team by wearing our Saint Louis Blues cotton face masks. It will help to save your family and friends the added chances of catching or spreading the deadly coronavirus.
Are you looking for quality and affordability?There are many masks out there that are made with extremely light materials that will not give you any level of protection. The masks are represented as extremely breathable. That is a real fact due to the flimsy thin materials they are manufactured with. Do not get fooled by the fashion side of some masks. You should choose wisely when buying your Saint Louis Blues mask with a filter. If you are looking for high-quality masks that look amazing, feel comfortable to wear for long periods of time, and are affordable for anyone to buy, then look no further than here.
Order Cloth Mask is proud to be located in Goshen, Indiana. If you would like to support a local business that is giving back to the community, then order your Sant Louis Blues face mask through our company. We are dedicated to helping to stop the spread of the COVID-19. The best way to do that is for every person to wear a top-quality face mask. You can be the start of the change we hope to bring forth. Order your Saint Louis Blues medical mask online or by phone today. We are excited to give you a great-looking mask that is affordable and comfortable.
Masks with confetti on them
Masks are becoming the major way to keep yourself protected and show your style at the same time. Are you wearing disposable masks that you have to continue to purchase? Have you thought about buying decorative face masks that can be used more than once? The options are endless when it comes to styles, materials, and more. If you are interested in excellent quality fashion face masks for sale, then you have come to the right place.
Where can you find a sequin face mask for sale? Are you looking for confetti cake face masks for sale? They are a great way to lighten the atmosphere at work or anytime. Order Cloth Masks is well-known for providing high-quality cloth masks at very affordable prices. If you live or work in the Goshen area, then go and support a local business today. Show your community that you care about small businesses in your area. We are always available to answer any questions or concerns regarding your cloth quarantine confetti masks. Contact us online or by phone, our professionals are always available to assist you.
Why should you buy a decorative face mask? Wearing a mask isn't just to keep you protected. It also helps to keep your family, loved ones, and strangers protected as well. It's extremely important that we all do our part and keep a mask on at all times when in a public area or surrounded by people. Why not have a mask that shows your style or positivity? Stylish face masks are a way to start a conversation. If you are in the workplace, it could be an ice breaker for those who are shy. You can use your mask to show your wild side in a fun and harmless way. Bring out your inner kid or glam it up with bling. Either way, you like your masks, we have plenty of options that will fit your needs and wallet.
Why should you wear a cloth mask from our company? It has been stated that cloth masks are the best ones you can choose to wear. Do your part to protect yourself by ordering one of our fashion face masks for sale today. We worked hard to deliver top-notch face masks to keep you safe. Do not take any chances with the thin and unsafe options that are out there so easy to get. You will get more than just a cheap mask that way. Protect yourself and your loved ones by purchasing a cloth decorative mask from Order Cloth Masks.
Contact our professionals right away to order your masks. We will go above and beyond to give you a great customer experience from the first phone call until you are wearing your mask proudly. We are looking forward to bringing you safety and comfort throughout your day. What are you waiting for? Have you ordered your masks yet? Save time and money by ordering your masks online in the comfort of your own home. We have gone the extra mile to bring you convenience along with quality.
Write something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview.